Core Viewpoint - The domestic futures industry in China is accelerating its internationalization and moving towards high-quality development, driven by policy guidance and market demand [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The Chinese futures market is the largest commodity futures market globally, covering over 140 products across 41 industries, with a projected CAGR of 9.1% from 2020 to 2024, expected to reach 986.8 trillion yuan by 2029 [1] - The demand for risk hedging in the real economy is increasing, particularly due to heightened volatility in commodity prices and rising hedging needs among industrial chain enterprises [1] - The cross-border risk management demand remains strong as Chinese companies accelerate their internationalization, with A-share listed companies' overseas business revenue growing by 12.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2024 [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Nanhua Futures is set to officially list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 22, becoming a pioneer in the internationalization of the domestic futures industry [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, Nanhua Futures ranks eighth among all domestic futures companies in total revenue for 2024 and first among non-financial institution-related futures companies, with the highest overseas revenue among domestic futures firms [1] Group 3: Financial Performance - Nanhua Futures' overseas financial services revenue is expected to double from 2022 to 2024, with over 50% of total revenue coming from this segment by the first half of 2025, contributing over 90% of operating profit [2] - The company plans to issue 108 million H-shares at a price range of 12-16 HKD, aiming to raise approximately 1.41 billion HKD, with funds allocated to enhance global business layout [2] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to establish an "A+H" dual listing structure to optimize its capital layout and enhance cross-border financial services, which is expected to boost its international brand influence and accelerate overseas business expansion [3] - Nanhua Futures is focusing on increasing investments in risk management, OTC derivatives, and wealth management to capitalize on global derivatives market opportunities [3] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections indicate a decline in total revenue from 6.247 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.256 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 2.738 billion yuan by 2027, with a significant year-on-year decrease of 60.5% in 2025 [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 402 million yuan in 2023 to 587 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [4] Group 6: Market Insights - Analysts believe that Nanhua Futures' internationalization strategy, high-margin business structure, and solid customer base will not only create long-term value for investors but also provide valuable insights for the internationalization of the domestic futures industry [5]