2026年世界经济：不确定性与韧性共存

Group 1 - The global economy is expected to face persistent uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and technological changes, but resilience remains a key characteristic [1][2] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) indicates that the global economy has shown better-than-expected performance, with developed and emerging markets, including China, demonstrating resilience against multiple shocks [2] - Factors influencing the international environment include the openness of global trade and investment, the nature of technological revolutions, and the future of major power relations [1][3] Group 2 - China is viewed positively as a stabilizing force in the global economy, with several international institutions raising their growth forecasts for China by 0.4, 0.2, and 0.1 percentage points respectively [3] - The World Bank's chief economist for China believes that China's long-term growth potential remains high, driven by technological innovation and improved resource allocation efficiency [3] - The commitment of China to uphold the multilateral trading system is seen as a source of certainty and stability for the world economy [3]