不给基金持有人短期“惊喜”或“惊吓”

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is potentially entering a slow bull phase driven by dual factors of valuation recovery and profit improvement [2][6]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Current bank stocks offer a dividend yield exceeding 4%, significantly higher than the yield on ten-year government bonds, indicating a favorable investment environment [2]. - There is an expectation of a rebound in profitability for cyclical industries, contributing to a positive market sentiment [2][6]. - The average price-to-book ratio for the banking sector is currently 0.7, suggesting that the valuation disparity is unsustainable [6]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The company employs a strategy of "extreme diversification + safety margin" to navigate potential market volatility, utilizing quantitative models to identify undervalued and profit-stable assets [2][3]. - The investment philosophy adheres to the "absolute return" principle, focusing on dynamic asset allocation based on market conditions rather than a fixed stock-bond ratio [3]. - The company emphasizes a balanced and diversified portfolio, with individual stock holdings rarely exceeding 1% of total positions, aiming for a long-term positive experience for investors [4]. Group 3: Sector and Stock Selection - The investment approach includes a balanced distribution across industries and a diversified stock selection, with a focus on low valuation and stable profit growth [4][5]. - The company tracks potential stocks using quantitative models to efficiently identify promising sectors and stocks, while final investment decisions are based on safety and return assessments [5]. Group 4: Outlook on Equity and Bond Markets - The equity market is expected to experience a slow bull trend, with improved market sentiment and potential for significant capital inflows [6]. - In the bond market, the company maintains a cautious stance due to historically low interest rates and limited room for further declines, focusing on mid to short-duration bonds for their value [7].