'Run it hot': The GDP report bolsters Wall Street's case for a high-growth, high-inflation economy
Yahoo Finance·2025-12-24 00:04

Core Viewpoint - The US economy is expected to continue its strong performance into 2026, avoiding recession and maintaining robust growth alongside high inflation [1][2]. Economic Outlook - Bank of America has labeled this scenario as "run-it-hot," predicting strong growth and inflation above target due to factors like Fed rate cuts, AI investments, supportive trade policies, and stimulus measures [2][3]. - Goldman Sachs also anticipates robust economic growth in 2026, attributing it to Fed rate cuts in a non-recessionary environment, despite stagnant job growth [4]. Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that commodities, particularly oil and energy, will be favorable investments in the "run-it-hot" scenario, with Bank of America highlighting commodities as the top trade for 2026 [6][7]. - The investment thesis includes a focus on small caps and cyclicals, indicating a broad range of sectors that could benefit from the anticipated economic conditions [6][8].