今晚，油价又要跌！再创新低！

Core Viewpoint - The oil prices are expected to experience a significant decline, marking a potential "three consecutive drops" and reaching a new low for the year 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Oil Price Trends - The recent pricing cycle has seen a weak and fluctuating trend in crude oil prices, influenced by geopolitical factors such as sanctions on Russian oil and increased attacks on Russian energy infrastructure [3]. - The market's focus on potential peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia has led to a decrease in risk premiums, contributing to downward pressure on oil prices [3]. - An increase in U.S. crude oil production expectations has further exacerbated the decline in oil prices [3]. Group 2: Domestic Fuel Price Adjustments - As of December 22, 2025, the domestic fuel price adjustment will see a reduction of 170 yuan per ton for gasoline and 165 yuan per ton for diesel [8]. - Throughout 2025, the domestic retail fuel prices have undergone 25 adjustment windows, with 7 increases, 12 decreases, and 6 instances of price freezes, resulting in a cumulative reduction of 915 yuan per ton for gasoline and 880 yuan per ton for diesel [8][9]. - The retail prices for various fuel types have been adjusted as follows: 92 gasoline at 6.82 yuan/liter, 95 gasoline at 7.25 yuan/liter, 98 gasoline at 9.25 yuan/liter, and 0 diesel at 6.46 yuan/liter, reflecting a decrease of 0.04 to 0.05 yuan per liter [9]. Group 3: Future Price Expectations - Analysts predict that the new pricing cycle will continue to see negative fluctuations, with a potential further decrease of around 40 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel in the upcoming adjustment period [9]. - The next price adjustment window is scheduled for January 6, 2026, with expectations of continued low oil price volatility in the short term [9].