化工行业“三年磨底，反转在即”，聚焦石化ETF（159731）布局价值

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance of the petrochemical ETF (159731), which has increased by 0.81%, with leading stocks such as Hengyi Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Jinhai Technology, and Salt Lake Co. showing significant gains [1] - The latest scale of the petrochemical ETF is reported to be 208 million yuan [1] - According to Founder Securities, since Q3 2025, there has been a recovery in global manufacturing sentiment, although demand growth is slowing, leading to a year-on-year decline in the PPI of chemical products [1] Group 2 - On the demand side, the domestic real estate market is at a cyclical bottom, while sales of new energy vehicles continue to grow significantly, and retail sales are showing steady improvement, supported by ongoing consumption promotion policies [1] - On the supply side, China has become a global leader in the chemical industry, while the manufacturing and chemical production capacity utilization rates in the EU have been declining, particularly in Germany, where the output of basic chemicals has been continuously decreasing [1] - The chemical industry has been at the bottom of the economic cycle for three years, indicating that a reversal may be near, with a focus on undervalued leading companies and sectors benefiting from marginal improvements in supply and demand [1] Group 3 - The petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) closely track the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, which is composed of three major sectors: refining and trading (27.33%), chemical products (22.04%), and agricultural chemical products (21.98%) [1] - These sectors are expected to benefit significantly from policies aimed at reducing competition, restructuring, and eliminating outdated production capacity [1]