美媒爆料：以色列向美国通报“伊朗或在筹备对以发动袭击”

Core Viewpoint - Israeli officials have warned the Trump administration about potential preparations by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) for an attack on Israel, despite the likelihood of such an attack being assessed as less than 50% [1][3]. Group 1: Israeli Concerns - Israeli intelligence indicates that the risk tolerance has significantly decreased following the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, leading to heightened vigilance regarding Iranian military activities [1]. - There is a growing concern among Israeli officials about Iran's expansion of its ballistic missile program, prompting discussions about potential military action against Iran [3]. Group 2: U.S. Intelligence Assessment - U.S. intelligence agencies have not found evidence suggesting an imminent Iranian attack, but there is a risk of conflict arising from miscalculations between Israel and Iran [3]. - The potential for a preemptive strike by either side is heightened due to mutual suspicions regarding each other's intentions [3]. Group 3: Military Exercises - The IRGC conducted naval exercises that included launching cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, and drones at simulated targets in the Oman Sea, claiming high precision in destroying these targets [3].