高市政府内拥核势力明显抬头

Core Viewpoint - The discussion around Japan potentially acquiring nuclear weapons has sparked significant debate within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and among opposition parties, highlighting a divide in Japan's security policy and its historical commitment to pacifism [1][2][3]. Group 1: Nuclear Policy Debate - A senior official from the Japanese Prime Minister's office expressed support for Japan acquiring nuclear weapons, which has led to criticism from various political factions, including opposition parties [1][2]. - The LDP's internal factions, particularly the faction led by Sanae Takaichi, are pushing to break Japan's "Three Non-Nuclear Principles," established in 1971, which state that Japan will not possess, manufacture, or introduce nuclear weapons [2][3]. - There is a concern that if Japan were to acquire nuclear weapons, it would have to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), complicating its energy policies [2][3]. Group 2: Political and Legal Constraints - The internal divisions within the LDP regarding nuclear policy reflect a complex interplay between Japan's post-World War II pacifist legacy and the desire to be seen as a "normal" nation with military capabilities [3]. - Legal restrictions, public anti-nuclear sentiment, and the opposition from various political parties pose significant challenges to any potential shift in Japan's nuclear policy [3][4]. - The recent discussions and actions by LDP leaders indicate a shift in Japan's defense strategy from "defensive" to "proactive deterrence," aiming to strengthen the Japan-U.S. alliance and enhance Japan's deterrent capabilities in the Asia-Pacific region [4]. Group 3: Regional and Global Implications - Any adjustment in Japan's nuclear policy could lead to a regional arms race, disrupt the security balance in the Asia-Pacific, and undermine global non-proliferation efforts [4].