贵金属持续走强，金银双双创下历史新高，铂金站上2000美元大关

Core Viewpoint - Global precious metal prices are on the rise, with gold and silver reaching historical highs, driven by multiple favorable factors including geopolitical tensions and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy [1][2]. Group 1: Precious Metal Price Trends - As of December 22, spot gold prices surpassed $4,400 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 67% [1] - Silver prices climbed above $69 per ounce, achieving a year-to-date increase of over 140% [1] - Platinum prices broke the $2,000 per ounce mark for the first time since 2008, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 127% [1] - Palladium reached a peak price of $1,839 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 96% [1] Group 2: Future Outlook and Influencing Factors - Analysts predict that gold and silver prices will maintain an upward trend due to geopolitical conflicts, the onset of a Federal Reserve rate cut cycle, and a decline in the dollar's credibility [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's December meeting indicated a more dovish stance than market expectations, which is expected to drive liquidity and support precious metal prices [2] - The narrative of shrinking dollar credit is anticipated to continue influencing the upward trend of precious metals, with expectations of economic recovery supporting silver's potential for greater price elasticity [2] Group 3: Investment Demand and Supply Dynamics - Global central bank gold purchases are at a high level, with investment demand expected to reach historical highs in the first three quarters of 2025 [2] - The influx of funds into global gold ETFs is projected to continue, with Asian investments replacing North American dominance, leading to record high total holdings [2] - A tight balance between gold supply and demand is expected to support price increases, with significant growth in investment demand anticipated for 2025 [2] Group 4: Silver and Other Precious Metals Forecast - The silver market is expected to show more significant performance in 2026, driven by persistent supply-demand imbalances [3] - Price targets for silver in 2026 are projected to reach approximately $75 per ounce, with stronger driving factors expected in the first half of the year [3] - Platinum and palladium prices are also expected to rise in 2026, with platinum likely to outperform palladium due to better fundamentals and financial attributes [3] - Price ranges for platinum and palladium in 2026 are estimated between $1,500-$2,800 per ounce and $1,200-$2,250 per ounce, respectively [3]