Core Viewpoint - The share price of Nio has significantly declined, raising questions about its investment potential despite strong sales growth and delivery numbers [1] Group 1: Sales and Revenue Growth - Nio's vehicle deliveries reached 36,275 in November, marking a year-over-year increase of 76.3%, closely following record deliveries of 40,397 vehicles in October, which represented a 92.6% year-over-year increase [3][4] - Despite soaring revenue from $5.6 billion in 2021 to $9.1 billion in 2023, Nio has reported increasing net losses, with projections of $3 billion in losses for 2024 [4] Group 2: Profitability Challenges - Nio's profitability remains elusive, with net losses growing alongside sales, indicating that higher sales do not necessarily translate to improved profitability [4][5] - Management aims for the fourth quarter to be the first profitable quarter, which could positively impact share prices if achieved [5] Group 3: Market Incentives - The Chinese government is phasing out substantial purchase subsidies and tax exemptions for EVs, which could negatively affect Nio's sales starting in 2026 [7][8] - The reduction in tax incentives may impact overall purchases, although Nio's strategy of targeting the lower-end EV market could help mitigate some effects [10] Group 4: International Expansion and Trade Barriers - Nio is expanding internationally, having launched sales and service networks in five European countries, with plans for further expansion [11] - The European Union has imposed tariffs on Chinese EVs ranging from 17% to 35.3%, complicating Nio's European strategy and potentially affecting its affordability [12]
Should You Buy Nio Stock While It's Below $5 a Share?