台海观澜｜蓝白弹劾赖清德，美国武装赖清德

Group 1 - The Kuomintang (KMT) and the People’s Party (PP) have initiated impeachment proceedings against Lai Ching-te, reflecting a significant political move in Taiwan amidst ongoing controversies related to the "Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure Division Act" [2][3] - A public petition for Lai's impeachment garnered over 6 million signatures within 24 hours, indicating substantial public sentiment against him, despite the petition lacking legal weight [2] - The likelihood of successfully impeaching Lai is low due to procedural requirements, including the need for a two-thirds majority in the Legislative Yuan, which the KMT and PP do not currently possess [3] Group 2 - The impeachment effort appears to be more of a publicity campaign aimed at raising the profile of the KMT and PP rather than a genuine attempt to remove Lai from office [4] - Concurrently, the U.S. announced a significant arms sale to Taiwan valued at approximately $11.1 billion, marking the largest such sale to date, which the Taiwanese government welcomed as a sign of strong U.S.-Taiwan relations [5] - Taiwan's defense budget is projected to exceed 3% of GDP next year, with aspirations to reach 5% by 2030, indicating a commitment to enhancing its defense capabilities [5] Group 3 - The political dynamics surrounding the impeachment and U.S. arms sales are likely to provoke responses from China, which has historically reacted strongly to U.S. military support for Taiwan [7][8] - Understanding China's potential countermeasures and the implications of U.S. arms sales on cross-strait military balance is crucial for assessing the future of Taiwan's security environment [8][9]