Why This Bull Market Isn't All About Tech

Market Overview - The market is perceived as healthy, with a belief that the tech pullback is not indicative of a broader market decline, as many stocks are still performing well [1][2] - Predictions for 2026 suggest a total return of 12% to 15% for the market, indicating continued optimism [3][4] - Historical patterns show that after significant market volatility, such as a 15% decline, the following year typically sees an average increase of 20% [5] Stock Performance - Recent data indicates an increase in the number of stocks reaching 52-week highs on the NYSE, suggesting broad market strength beyond just technology [2] - Micron's recent strong performance is highlighted, with its stock price showing significant gains, although it has not yet surpassed its yearly highs [6][7] - Concerns remain about the concentration of the S&P 500, where 40% of the index is made up of a few large stocks, which could pose risks if any of these stocks falter [7][8] Sector Analysis - There is a cautious sentiment among investors regarding certain sectors, with some stocks like Oracle and Costco being viewed as overvalued [11][12] - Defensive stocks and biotechs are currently performing well, while oil stocks are underperforming [11] - Developed international markets are gaining attention, with countries like Japan and Germany reaching all-time highs, suggesting potential investment opportunities outside the U.S. [15][16] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a dovish stance, with potential interest rate cuts anticipated, which could influence market dynamics [19][20] - Retail sales data and earnings reports have been solid, indicating a resilient economy despite concerns about the labor market [21]