12.17盘前速览 | 卫星产业持续闪耀，消费再获预期支撑

Macroeconomic Dynamics - The market anticipates a 58 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2026 following the release of U.S. employment data, with a 31% probability of a rate cut in January [1] - Key future focus areas include the nomination of a new Federal Reserve chair, prospects for U.S. fiscal stimulus, and actual measures to expand domestic demand [1] Satellite Internet - Sellers indicate that key launch projects are ready and awaiting coordination for new timelines [1] - The IPO of Electronic Science and Technology Blue Sky has been approved, positioning it as a core supplier for aerospace power [1] - Recent catalysts include the Hainan Wenchang Conference and multiple commercial rocket maiden flights [1] - Related ETF: Satellite Industry ETF (on-market: 159218) [1] Consumer Sector - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the need to enhance consumer willingness and implement special actions to boost consumption [1] - The Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission has identified expanding domestic demand as the top priority for next year [1] - Three departments have issued documents encouraging the use of digital RMB smart contract red envelopes to promote consumption [1] - Related ETFs: Consumer ETF (on-market: 510150, off-market link: 217017), Food and Beverage ETF (on-market: 159843) [1] Robotics - Sellers report that prototype demonstrations will occur after Christmas, with new suppliers and sales strategies to be introduced in March, while dexterous hands are undergoing rapid iteration [1] - Related ETFs: Robotics Index ETF (on-market: 560770, off-market link: 020482) [1] Artificial Intelligence - NVIDIA has released the Nemotron 3 family of open-source models [1] - Ant Group's AI health application "Antifortune" has reached third place on the Apple app rankings [1] - The Volcano Engine Conference on the 18th will focus on the Doubao large model, edge AI, and Agent ecosystem [1] - Reports suggest that Google's Asian supply chain visits are intensifying, with an expected procurement of 4 million TPUs next year [1] - Related ETFs: Cloud Computing ETF (on-market: 159890, off-market link: 021716), Software Leaders ETF (on-market: 159899, off-market link: 018385) [1] Autonomous Driving - Hongmeng Zhixing and Xpeng have been approved to begin internal testing of L3 autonomous driving [1] - Horizon Robotics has set a target of 5.5 million chip shipments for 2026, a 30% increase from previous expectations [1] - Related ETFs: Consumer Electronics 50 ETF (on-market: 159779, off-market link: 016007) [1] Market Observation - On December 16, trading volume was 1.7242 trillion, a decrease of 49.3 billion [2] - The index retraced to 3816 points, with strong performance in sectors such as retail, beauty care, and social services [2] - The satellite sector experienced fluctuations but rebounded, while intelligent driving and AI liquid cooling showed performance in the adjustment phase [2] - The market is expected to follow a "first suppress then rise" pattern, with strong resilience in the consumer sector and opportunities for layout in technology and satellite themes during adjustments [2]