What To Expect From Tuesday's Report On Economic Growth

Economic Growth Overview - The U.S. economy is projected to have grown at an annualized rate of 3.2% in the third quarter, a decrease from 3.8% in the second quarter but above the average of 2.6% since Q3 2021 [2] - The report on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was delayed due to a government shutdown, which affected the release of key economic indicators [3] Consumer Spending and Economic Drivers - Consumer spending is identified as the main driver of economic growth, with economists noting robust momentum in the third quarter [6][7] - Despite strong consumer spending, concerns arise regarding a potential slowdown due to rising unemployment rates, which have reached their highest level since the pandemic [7][8] Impact of Tariffs on GDP - Recent GDP measurements have been distorted by changes in trade policies, particularly tariffs, which have affected import levels and consequently GDP calculations [5] - The surge in imports prior to the implementation of tariffs negatively impacted GDP, but a subsequent decline in imports helped reverse this trend in the second quarter [5]