Chewy EBITDA Margins Climb: How Close Is CHWY to Its 10% Goal?

Core Insights - Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) is progressing towards its long-term adjusted EBITDA margin target of 10%, showing consistent year-over-year profitability improvement, particularly in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 [1][5] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Chewy increased by 30% year-over-year to $180.9 million in the fiscal third quarter, with the adjusted EBITDA margin expanding by 100 basis points to 5.8% [2][9] - Chewy's fiscal 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 5.6% and 5.7%, with initiatives like Chewy Vet Care and Chewy+ membership aimed at enhancing customer engagement and supporting long-term margin growth [3][4] Margin Expansion Strategy - Management indicated that less than 450 basis points of margin expansion is needed to reach the long-term target of 10%, with approximately half of this expected from gross margin improvements and the rest from operating expense efficiencies [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) reported a 3.1% year-over-year decline in net sales to $1.5 billion, but its adjusted EBITDA rose by $17.3 million to $98.6 million due to effective cost management [6] - BARK, Inc. (BARK) reported revenue of $107 million, a 15.2% year-over-year decline, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.4 million [7] Market Position - Chewy's shares have decreased by 25.2% over the last six months, contrasting with an 8.1% rise in the industry [8] - Chewy trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.14, which is lower than the industry average of 24 [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year earnings growth of 22.1% for the current fiscal year and 23.3% for the next fiscal year [13]