凌晨，全线大涨，美联储突发警告

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market has officially entered the "Santa Claus Rally," with all three major indices rising for three consecutive days, driven by a surge in AI-related stocks, which has boosted market sentiment [1][3] - The VIX, a measure of market volatility, has dropped to 14.08, the lowest level since December 13, 2024, indicating reduced investor fear [1] AI and Technology Stocks - AI-related stocks saw significant gains, with Nvidia, Tesla, and TSMC ADR rising over 1%, Oracle increasing by more than 3%, and Micron Technology up over 4% [3] - Investors are closely monitoring these tech stocks amid concerns about high valuations as the year-end approaches [3] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged, with COMEX gold futures rising by 2.13% to $4480.6 per ounce and COMEX silver futures increasing by 2.37% to $69.09 per ounce, marking year-to-date increases of 69% and 137%, respectively [4] - The recent price increases are attributed to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and heightened demand for safe-haven assets [4][5] Federal Reserve Outlook - Analysts predict that the Federal Reserve may cut rates at least twice in 2026, influenced by comments from former President Trump advocating for looser monetary policy [1][4] - The employment growth slowdown and lower-than-expected inflation data support the narrative for further rate cuts [4] Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical risks are contributing to the concentration of funds in precious metals, as investors seek to hedge against uncertainty [4][5] Federal Reserve Leadership - Former President Trump is expected to appoint a new Federal Reserve Chair in the first week of January, with candidates advocating for lower interest rates [7][8] - Recent comments from Fed officials, including Stephen Miran, suggest a dovish stance, warning of recession risks if rate cuts do not continue [8][9]