张于喆：保持制造业合理比重意在巩固优势

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing industry is crucial for the foundation and strength of a nation, with its development level determining a country's overall strength and international competitiveness [1] Group 1: Importance of Manufacturing - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to strengthen the real economy, particularly manufacturing, to enhance self-innovation capabilities and overall strength [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" and "15th Five-Year Plan" highlight the importance of maintaining a stable proportion of manufacturing in the economy, reflecting a deepened understanding of the role of the real economy [1][2] Group 2: Stability of Manufacturing Proportion - Maintaining a stable manufacturing proportion addresses concerns about the potential decline in manufacturing's share of GDP, which fell from 28.1% in 2016 to 26.3% in 2020, raising fears of "hollowing out" the industry [2] - A reasonable proportion of manufacturing is essential for enhancing international competitiveness and achieving high-level technological self-reliance [2][3] Group 3: Economic Development and Manufacturing - The relationship between manufacturing's share of GDP and economic development stages is characterized by an "inverted U-shape," where manufacturing typically rises and then falls as economies mature [3] - Changes in industrial proportions should be gradual rather than abrupt, aligning with economic development stages [3] Group 4: Current Economic Context - The need to balance domestic economic work and international trade challenges is urgent, with a strong manufacturing base essential for innovation and market stability [4] - Manufacturing plays a key role in international competition, impacting national security and technological competition [4] Group 5: Future Development Goals - Building a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing is crucial for enhancing competitiveness and adapting to market demands [5] - Maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion involves both quantitative and structural optimization, focusing on digitalization, green technology, and service integration [5] Group 6: Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's large-scale market provides significant cost and efficiency advantages, driving the continuous deepening of manufacturing specialization [6] - The rise of global trade protectionism and demand shortages necessitates a focus on advancing manufacturing to higher-end production [6] Group 7: Innovation and Structural Optimization - Strengthening manufacturing advantages requires a focus on integrating innovation and industry chains to enhance overall competitiveness [7] - There is a need to address misconceptions about manufacturing's role and to optimize the internal structure and spatial layout of the manufacturing sector [7]