国产化率1-N阶段提升 + 先进存储扩产,机构:半导体设备公司有望充分受益
Jin Rong Jie·2025-12-23 01:47

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant growth driven by advancements in AI technology, leading to increased demand for semiconductor manufacturing equipment and storage solutions. This growth is expected to continue into 2026 and 2027, with substantial capital expenditures and a rise in domestic production capabilities in China [1][2][12]. Industry Developments - The Shanghai Jiao Tong University has achieved a breakthrough in optical computing chips, marking China's entry into a leading position in the global optical chip sector [6]. - The International Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturers Association (SEMI) forecasts that global semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales will reach $133 billion in 2025, a 13.7% increase year-over-year, with further growth expected in 2026 and 2027 [1][13]. Market Trends - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has seen a daily increase of 4.22%, with significant contributions from stocks like Tuojing Technology reaching new highs [1]. - The demand for storage chips is rising, with embedded NAND and DRAM contract prices expected to increase by 30% and 45% respectively in Q4, with further price hikes anticipated in Q1 [8]. Investment Insights - The semiconductor equipment sector is positioned as a cornerstone of the semiconductor industry, with a broad space for domestic substitution and growth opportunities driven by AI-related investments [2][3]. - The domestic semiconductor equipment market is expected to benefit from the expansion of storage and advanced logic chip production, with a significant increase in domestic production capabilities anticipated [2][24]. Financial Performance - The China Securities Index for the semiconductor sector reported a 32.12% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3, continuing a trend of growth over the past ten quarters, driven by AI applications and domestic substitution efforts [17].