新股前瞻|119亿估值换电龙头赴港，奥动新能源能否打动投资者？

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market has shown significant recovery in 2023, with over 100 new listings and substantial growth in both the number of listings and total financing, reflecting improved market liquidity and investor confidence. In this context, Aodong New Energy, a leading player in the battery swapping sector, has initiated its listing process on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1]. Company Overview - Aodong New Energy is recognized as China's largest independent third-party battery swapping solution provider, with a solid market position as of 2024 [1]. - The company has completed multiple rounds of equity financing since 2018, with a post-money valuation of 11.9 billion yuan as of January 2022 [1]. Financial Performance - Aodong New Energy's revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 1.106 billion yuan, 1.155 billion yuan, and 926 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding losses of 785 million yuan, 655 million yuan, and 419 million yuan, indicating a trend of narrowing losses but fluctuating revenue [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 324 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 31.71%, with a loss of 157 million yuan [2]. Revenue Structure - The company is transitioning from a device sales-driven model to a service-driven model, with the proportion of revenue from battery swapping services increasing from 29.0% in 2022 to 69.8% in the first half of 2025 [4]. - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for battery swapping service revenue from 2022 to 2024 reached 39.5%, despite a significant decline in equipment sales revenue by 48.2% in 2024 [4]. Research and Development - Aodong New Energy has maintained a consistent investment in R&D, with cumulative R&D expenses reaching 248 million yuan from 2022 to the first half of 2025, accounting for 6.6% to 8.3% of total revenue [4]. - The company has developed a competitive edge with its proprietary "snap-on" battery swapping technology, achieving industry-leading swapping speeds [5]. Market Dynamics - The battery swapping industry in China is projected to grow from 1.5 billion yuan in 2020 to 10.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 61.1%, and is expected to reach 70.5 billion yuan by 2030 [7]. - Despite the growth potential, the industry faces challenges due to its capital-intensive nature and the long path to profitability [9]. Competitive Landscape - Aodong New Energy is currently the leading independent third-party battery swapping service provider, but faces increasing competition from major battery manufacturers like CATL, which is rapidly expanding its battery swapping network [9][10]. - The company is strategically shifting its focus towards commercial vehicles, which have a more pressing need for battery swapping due to longer operational hours and higher willingness to pay [10]. Future Outlook - While the battery swapping industry has promising prospects, Aodong New Energy continues to experience operational challenges, including declining revenue and negative cash flow, indicating it has not yet overcome its performance "growing pains" [11]. - The company's shift towards operational services and the commercial vehicle sector may lead to substantial improvements in performance, with ongoing market attention on its profitability turning point [11].