华泰期货：沪金破千，沪银新高，贵金属延续强势表现

Group 1 - Precious metals continue to show strong performance, with the main contract for silver (沪银2602) closing at 16,210 CNY/kg, an increase of 6.06%, and gold (沪金2602) at 1,000.86 CNY/g, up by 2.10% [2][8] - As of December 19, the latest holdings for gold SPDR ETF stand at 1,052.54 tons, while silver SLV ETF holds 16,018 tons [2][8] Group 2 - In macroeconomic terms, the U.S. non-farm employment increased by 64,000 in November, surpassing the market expectation of 50,000, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021 [3][9] - The average hourly wage in November grew by 3.5% year-on-year, marking the slowest growth since May 2021 [3][9] - The U.S. November core CPI rose by 2.6% year-on-year, the slowest increase since early 2021, and overall CPI increased by 2.7%, both below market expectations [3][9] - The weaker employment data may lead the Federal Reserve to maintain a loose monetary policy stance, which could support precious metals [3][9] - The market has priced in the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, which has not significantly impacted the global market or posed a clear downside risk to precious metal prices [3][9] - The long-term logic of gold as an alternative to dollar assets remains unchanged, maintaining an optimistic outlook on gold [3][9] - Silver prices are strong due to a shortage in the physical market, reaching historical highs, with potential for a phase of low ratio correction against gold [3][9]