11月光伏组件出口额同比高增,海外需求持续旺盛 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-12-23 03:05

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a decline in the production and demand for photovoltaic components, with a notable decrease in both domestic and overseas markets, while also indicating a mixed performance in battery production and pricing trends across different segments [1][2]. Production - Photovoltaic component production in November 2025 decreased by 2.43% compared to October 2025, with domestic terminal installation progress falling short of expectations and rising component prices causing reluctance among downstream buyers [2] - In December 2025, the predicted production volume for power, storage, and consumer batteries in China is 220 GWh, reflecting a 5.3% month-on-month increase, with storage battery production accounting for approximately 35.3% [2] Pricing - As of December 17, 2025, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers was 1.18 CNY/piece, and TOPCon double-glass components also held steady at 0.69 CNY/W [3] - In November 2025, the average price of lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems ranged from 0.4452 to 0.6828 CNY/Wh, with an average price of 0.5721 CNY/Wh, reflecting a 6.4% decrease month-on-month [3] Demand - In November 2025, the export value of photovoltaic components reached approximately 2.412 billion USD, marking a year-on-year increase of 34.08% and a month-on-month increase of 6.84% [4] - The cumulative export value from January to November 2025 was 25.885 billion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.89% [4] - Domestic photovoltaic installations in October 2025 totaled 12.6 GW, representing a month-on-month increase of 30.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 38.3% [4] - The newly tendered capacity for EPC/PC (including DC-side equipment) and storage systems in November 2025 reached 21.8 GW/64 GWh, marking a monthly high for 2025 with a 65% increase month-on-month [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies related to the photovoltaic and storage sectors, recommending specific companies such as Sunshine Power, Nandu Power, Tongrun Equipment, Huashengchang, and Shouhang New Energy [5]

11月光伏组件出口额同比高增,海外需求持续旺盛 | 投研报告 - Reportify