Group 1 - Citi has adjusted the earnings forecast for Sensible Holdings (01999) for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028, with a decrease of 2% for 2026, an increase of 1% for 2027, and an increase of 4% for 2028 [1] - Following the acquisition of Gainline, Citi raised the target price for Sensible Holdings from HKD 5.3 to HKD 6.5, based on an 11x price-to-earnings ratio for fiscal year 2026 [1] - The acquisition is expected to enhance Sensible Holdings' competitive position in the U.S. market, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 7% in earnings per share over the next three years [1] Group 2 - Sensible Holdings announced a USD 32 million acquisition of 100% of Gainline Recline Intermediate Corp. to strengthen its U.S. sofa business [1] - The company aims to achieve breakeven for Gainline within 12 months by reducing supply chain procurement costs and leveraging bulk purchasing discounts [1] - The acquisition is expected to contribute a 1% and 4% profit boost to Sensible Holdings in fiscal years 2027 and 2028, respectively [1] Group 3 - Citi believes that Sensible Holdings holds a dominant position in the leisure sofa market in both the U.S. and China, with structural improvements in living standards in China supporting long-term growth [2] - The company is expected to benefit from its competitive production facilities in Vietnam, leading to increased market share in the U.S. [2] - The penetration rate of leisure chairs is projected to rise from 9.7% in 2023 to double digits over the next five years, which will benefit Sensible Holdings [2]
花旗：升敏华控股(01999)评级至“买入” 目标价上调至6.5港元