智通财经网·2025-12-23 08:53Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities highlights the significant growth in power demand from AI data centers (AIDC) in North America, projecting a rise in electricity consumption from 176 TWh in 2023 to between 325 TWh and 580 TWh by 2028, which will account for 6.7% to 12% of total U.S. electricity demand [1] Group 1: AIDC Power Demand - AIDC's electricity consumption in 2023 is estimated at 176 TWh, representing 4.4% of total U.S. electricity demand [1] - By 2028, AIDC's power consumption is expected to increase to between 325 TWh and 580 TWh, marking a growth of approximately 4 to 8 times, with AI server power demand rising from about 40 TWh in 2023 to between 165 TWh and 325 TWh [1] Group 2: Energy Storage Demand - Traditional rapid energy replenishment methods are limited, making AIDC energy storage more economically viable and quicker to deliver, with an expected increase in market share [2] - AIDC's energy storage demand is projected to rise from approximately 9.6 GWh in 2025 to 21 GWh by 2028, assuming a power increase from 10 GW to 22 GW [2] Group 3: Transformer Market Dynamics - There is a significant supply shortage for transformers in North America, with the demand for AIDC driving this gap [3] - The global transformer market for AIDC is projected to reach approximately 60 billion yuan in 2024 and 264 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 64% [3] - China's transformer exports have increased by 36% year-on-year, with the average export price rising from $12,000 per unit in 2020 to $20,800 per unit by 2025, indicating a potential for both volume and price growth in exports [3] Group 4: Technological Advancements - The power supply architecture for data centers is evolving towards 800V HVDC and solid-state transformers (SST), which are expected to enhance efficiency and reliability [4] - NVIDIA's release of an 800V HVDC white paper indicates a shift towards this technology, with various domestic players expected to launch SST samples by the first half of 2026 [4] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Companies to watch include Jinpan Technology (688676.SH), Igor (002922.SZ), Sungrow Power (300274.SZ), DeYe (605117.SH), Trina Solar (688599.SH), Canadian Solar (688472.SH), Sanyuan Electric (002028.SZ), Sifang Electric (601126.SH), and TBEA (600089.SH) [5]