刘福云:黄金行情最新走势分析及操作方向

Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in gold prices is primarily driven by a combination of safe-haven demand and interest rate expectations [1][3] Economic Indicators - Upcoming employment data (such as the four-week average of ADP employment changes) and various economic indicators (including the preliminary GDP for Q3, durable goods orders, industrial output, and consumer confidence) will significantly influence gold prices through their impact on the strength of the dollar and interest rate paths [1][3] - Weaker data typically reinforces expectations for monetary easing, which is bullish for gold, while stronger data may boost the dollar and interest rate expectations, potentially exerting short-term pressure on gold [1][3] Technical Analysis - Gold has successfully broken through previous resistance levels on the daily chart, with short-term moving averages showing an upward trend [1][3] - The daily trend remains strong, and attention should be paid to potential minor adjustments before a second upward movement [1][3] - On the hourly chart, gold is maintaining a good upward trend close to short-term moving averages, with no signs of a peak observed in the short-term [1][3] Support Levels - The previous high of 4382 has formed a significant support level, and as long as gold does not fall below the 4380 area, the bullish trend remains strong [1][3] - The current strategy is to maintain a long position, with short-term focus on the support around 4400 and the critical support level at 4380 [1][3]