智通财经网·2025-12-23 09:08Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised due to recent sales performance and the privatization of Zeekr, with a target price of HKD 27.01, indicating a potential upside of 60% [1] Group 1: Privatization Impact - The completion of Zeekr's privatization allows Geely to fully own Zeekr and Lynk & Co, expected to increase net profit by CNY 2-3 billion in 2026 [2] - The integration of Geely, Galaxy, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr is anticipated to enhance operational efficiency through synergies [2] Group 2: New Model Launches - Geely continues to launch competitive new models, maintaining a strong product cycle with high hit rates, including the Galaxy A7 and Galaxy Star models, achieving monthly sales of over 15,000 and 10,000 units respectively [3] - The company plans to introduce 1-2 new models each quarter, sustaining the strong new product cycle into the next year [3] Group 3: Sales and Profit Growth - In November, Geely achieved sales of 310,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with projected sales of 3.06 million, 3.7 million, and 3.99 million units for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 40%, 21%, and 8% respectively [4] - The introduction of mid-to-high-end models is expected to significantly improve the product mix, leading to higher average selling prices (ASP) and gross margins, with net profit forecasts of CNY 18.6 billion, CNY 26.3 billion, and CNY 31.6 billion for 2025-2027 [4] Group 4: Valuation and Market Position - Geely is considered one of the top picks for the upcoming recovery in the automotive sector, with a low valuation and strong growth potential, trading at PE ratios of 8.8 and 6.3 for 2025-2026 [5] - The current pessimistic market sentiment is seen as an opportunity for investment, as the company's fundamentals are expected to diverge positively from its valuation [5]