华福证券首席分析师王保庆“2026有色十大狂想”：金价上涨50%，银价翻倍并纳入央行储备，铂价翻倍追平黄金

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a bold prediction by Wang Baoqing, the chief analyst at Huafu Securities, regarding the future of the non-ferrous metals market, titled "Top Ten Fantasies of Non-Ferrous Metals in 2026" [1][6]. Group 1: Predictions for Non-Ferrous Metals - Gold price is expected to rise by 50% [6]. - Silver price is projected to double and be included in the central bank's reserve system [6]. - Platinum price is anticipated to double, reaching parity with gold [6]. - Lithium price is forecasted to exceed 300,000 yuan/ton, driven by storage demand [6]. - Copper and aluminum prices are expected to increase by 50%, supported by both computing power and storage needs [6]. - Tin price is predicted to surpass 500,000 yuan/ton, with computing demand as a key support factor [6]. - Nickel price is expected to double due to production cuts in Indonesia [6]. - The overall non-ferrous industry is projected to double, continuing to lead both domestic and international capital markets [6]. - Copper is anticipated to become the highest quality asset in the computing power industry chain, with Zijin Mining's market value and scale surpassing BHP, making it the largest mining company globally [6]. - The potassium salt sector is expected to see multiple stocks emerge, driven by storage demand [6]. Group 2: Macro Economic Insights - The analysis references the "super cycle" concept, suggesting that wealth accumulation often relies on the Kondratiev wave cycle [6]. - Historical context is provided, noting that around 2006, China's rapid economic growth led to a four to five-fold increase in copper prices, while the explosion of the electric vehicle industry around 2021 resulted in a roughly 20-fold increase in lithium prices [6]. - A question is raised about whether the non-ferrous metals super cycle driven by storage and computing power will still be in its initial phase in 2025, with the main upward trend potentially occurring in 2026 [3][6].