Strategy's Bitcoin Accretion Continues: Is the Momentum Durable?

Core Insights - Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is solidifying its position as the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, with plans to significantly increase its Bitcoin holdings in 2025, reaching approximately 671,000 BTC, including a recent purchase of 10,645 BTC in December [2][10] - The company's Bitcoin yield has reached 26% year-to-date, and it has gained 116,555 BTC, indicating disciplined accumulation rather than opportunistic trading [3][10] - Regulatory clarity and a new S&P B- credit rating are expected to enhance access to capital markets, supporting a target of 30% BTC yield and $20 billion in BTC dollar profits for 2025 [4][5][10] Company Performance - MSTR has underperformed compared to its sector and competitors, with a 54.1% decline in share price over the past year, while the Zacks Finance sector gained 15.7% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MSTR's 2025 earnings is $78.04 per share, showing a recovery from a previous loss of $6.72 per share [14] Competitive Landscape - MARA Holdings (MARA) is adopting a different strategy by combining Bitcoin production and accumulation, holding 52,850 BTC with a hash rate of 60.4 EH/s, posing competitive pressure on MSTR [6] - Riot Platforms (RIOT) is also a growing threat, with 19,287 BTC held and a hash rate of 36.5 EH/s, generating $180.2 million in revenues and $104.5 million in net income [7]