Core Viewpoint - Oil prices continue to rise amid geopolitical tensions, particularly due to the interruption of Venezuelan oil exports, which is a significant factor supporting market sentiment [4][10][30]. Group 1: Oil Price Movements - On Tuesday, oil prices experienced a steady increase, with Brent crude rising approximately $0.5, indicating strong geopolitical performance [4]. - WTI crude oil futures closed at $58.38 per barrel, up $0.37 or 0.64%, while Brent crude futures closed at $61.87 per barrel, up $0.29 or 0.47% [26]. - The market is currently facing a resistance zone, and technical analysis suggests a need for price correction, indicating that further price increases may be limited [5][25]. Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The U.S. continues to exert pressure on Venezuela, with President Trump stating that actions such as seizing oil tankers aim to force President Maduro out of power [4][30]. - The ongoing conflict in Ukraine remains unresolved, with direct attacks on energy facilities continuing, which adds to the geopolitical uncertainty affecting oil prices [4][10]. - Recent U.S. actions against Venezuelan oil exports have led to a significant slowdown in loading activities, further impacting the supply chain [37]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The API reported an increase in crude oil and gasoline inventories, indicating a potential oversupply situation, especially as December is traditionally a period of high demand due to holidays [5][25]. - The floating crude oil inventory in Asian waters has reached a three-year high, but it is expected to decline as sanctioned oil exports slow down and procurement increases [28]. - The market is closely monitoring the supply dynamics, particularly the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices and inventory levels [29][38].
油价三连涨,上档压力渐增,地缘扰动能否继续攻坚尽管关键阶段
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-23 23:13