天风策略：政策靠前发力 春季行情可期

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the expectation of maintaining policy continuity and stability in the coming year, with a focus on enhancing flexibility and predictability, particularly in the context of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][6] - The articles highlight the importance of gold and convertible bonds as key investment areas, indicating a strategic shift in asset allocation [1][6] - The initiation of the Hainan Free Trade Port's full closure is seen as a significant step towards deepening reforms, aligning with the central government's strategic decisions [2][10] Group 2 - The recent meeting of the State Council, chaired by Premier Li Qiang, aims to ensure effective implementation of the central economic work conference's decisions, reinforcing the economic stability trend [2][9] - The Bank of Japan's decision to raise its policy interest rate to 0.75% marks the highest level in 30 years, indicating a shift in monetary policy that could impact global markets [10] - The articles report on various domestic policies, including the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port and the establishment of a financial standardization technical committee, which are part of broader efforts to stimulate economic growth [3][11] Group 3 - In the equity market, the A-share index showed a slight rebound, while other major indices experienced minor declines, reflecting the need for policy support in consumption and investment [12] - The central bank's net fund injection of 109 billion yuan during the third week of December indicates a balanced liquidity approach, with ongoing measures to support the financial market [12] - The commodity market saw stability in non-ferrous metals and a rebound in precious metals, alongside a slight decrease in oil prices, suggesting mixed trends across different sectors [5][12] Group 4 - The foreign exchange market experienced a rebound in the US dollar index after the Federal Reserve's rate cut, while the Chinese yuan appreciated slightly, indicating ongoing currency dynamics [13] - The articles note the importance of the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" and the need for proactive fiscal and monetary policies to navigate potential geopolitical risks and uncertainties [1][6]