刷新十年新高，这个指数有点厉害...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in non-ferrous metals has led to multiple commodities reaching historical or near-historical highs, with the non-ferrous metals sector showing an increase of over 87% this year, outperforming other industries significantly [1][17]. Group 1: Price Trends and Historical Highs - Precious metals such as gold and silver have reached historical highs, while platinum has hit its highest level since 2008. Industrial metals like LME copper and Shanghai tin have also reached historical highs, and lithium carbonate has seen a significant increase of over 200% this year [1][20]. - The China Nonferrous Metals Index has recently surpassed 3000 points, achieving a new ten-year high, with the ETF showing an 85.31% increase this year [24][26]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Copper is experiencing a "super cycle" due to supply disruptions from mining accidents in key regions like Chile and Indonesia, coupled with reduced production from Chinese smelters, creating a "hard shortage" of copper concentrate. Demand is driven by investments in global power grids and the increased use of copper in electric vehicles [19][22]. - Aluminum supply is constrained by production caps and insufficient recovery of hydropower in Yunnan, while demand remains strong due to automotive lightweighting and solar energy applications [19]. - Gold prices are supported by geopolitical risks and central bank purchases, with expectations of continued strength due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [19][20]. Group 3: Sector Performance and Future Outlook - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to continue its super cycle into 2026, influenced by factors such as the recovery of dollar credit, strategic stockpiling, and the effects of "anti-involution" policies. Analysts predict that both non-ferrous and precious metals will lead the upward trend in 2026 [15][32]. - Major financial institutions forecast that gold prices could challenge $5000 per ounce by 2026, with central bank purchases being a key support factor [32][33].