Market Overview - The CSI 300 index decreased by 0.28% this week, while the public utility index fell by 0.59%. In contrast, the environmental protection index rose by 0.25%, with relative weekly returns of -0.31% and 0.53% respectively [2][3] - Among the 31 primary industry sectors classified by Shenwan, public utilities and environmental protection ranked 25th and 18th in terms of growth [2][3] - In the electricity sector, thermal power declined by 0.88%, hydropower by 1.00%, and new energy generation by 0.75%. The water sector fell by 1.40%, while the gas sector saw a slight increase of 0.11% [2][3] Important Events - From January to November, the industrial power generation reached 88,567 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.4%. In November alone, the generation was 7,792 billion kWh, with a daily average of 259.7 billion kWh [3] - In November, industrial thermal power shifted from growth to decline, while hydropower experienced rapid growth. Nuclear and solar power generation accelerated, and wind power shifted from decline to growth. Specifically, industrial thermal power fell by 4.2%, while hydropower grew by 17.1%, nuclear power by 4.7%, wind power by 22.0%, and solar power by 23.4% [3] Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notice to adjust the signing ratio requirements for long-term contracts for coal-fired power generation enterprises. The total signed electricity volume should not be less than 70% of the previous year's actual online electricity volume, with a minimum of 60% under certain conditions [4] Investment Strategy - In the public utility sector, coal and electricity prices are expected to decline simultaneously, maintaining reasonable profitability for thermal power. Recommendations include major thermal power companies such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric [6] - Continuous government support for new energy development is anticipated to stabilize profitability in this sector, with recommendations for leading companies like Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [6] - The growth in installed capacity and power generation is expected to offset downward pressure on electricity prices, with stable profitability projected for nuclear power companies like China National Nuclear Power [6] - In the environmental sector, the water and waste incineration industries are entering a mature phase, with significant improvements in free cash flow. Recommendations include companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [6]
1-11月规上工业发电量8.86亿千瓦时(+2.4%),《2024年中国生态环境统计年报》内容梳理 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-12-24 02:04