If You Bet On Trump’s America First Industrial Onshoring With AIRR ETF You Beat The S&P 500

Core Insights - The First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (AIRR) achieved a 30% return in 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 16% gain, due to its concentrated investment in small and mid-cap industrial companies aligned with the onshoring theme [1][2]. Performance Highlights - AIRR's top three holdings, Comfort Systems USA, C.H. Robinson, and MasTec, each experienced gains exceeding 60%, with Comfort Systems USA surging 123% driven by demand for HVAC and building systems from new domestic manufacturing facilities [2][4]. - The fund's concentrated exposure, with 91% of assets in industrials and only 52 holdings, allowed it to capitalize on the onshoring thesis effectively [1][7]. Tariff Policy Impact - The future performance of AIRR is heavily dependent on the continuation and scope of tariff policies from the Trump administration, which incentivize domestic manufacturing by increasing the cost of foreign production [5]. - Monitoring tariff announcements and potential expansions beyond China is crucial, as any indication that tariffs are temporary could weaken the long-term investment case for domestic industrial growth [6]. Holdings and Rebalancing - AIRR's concentration risk is notable, with the top 10 positions accounting for approximately 36% of assets, necessitating quarterly rebalancing to maintain exposure to small and mid-cap companies with positive earnings estimates [7].