掘金“元素周期表”：中证800有色投资指南

Core Viewpoint - The market for non-ferrous metals is experiencing a strong rally, with the China Securities 800 Non-Ferrous Metals Index showing a 62.47% return over the past six months, indicating robust investor confidence in the sector [29][5]. Group 1: Market Drivers - Global manufacturing activity is showing signs of recovery, providing a fundamental support for metal demand, while expectations of potential U.S. import tariffs are leading to a "stockpiling" trend for specific metals like copper [6][33]. - The market anticipates a rise in the probability of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which is contributing to a rebound in precious metals, with silver recently reaching historical highs [6][33]. - Structural constraints in global copper supply are becoming increasingly evident, with processing fees for copper concentrate declining, raising concerns about future production capacity [6][33]. - The global energy transition is driving long-term demand growth for non-ferrous metals, particularly in sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy [6][33]. - Emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and humanoid robotics are creating new demand for specialty metals like tin and rare earth materials, reshaping their value assessment [6][33]. Group 2: Index Characteristics - The China Securities 800 Non-Ferrous Metals Index is a representative tool for investors in the A-share non-ferrous metals sector, focusing on mid to large-cap companies with good liquidity and representativeness [3][4]. - The index covers the entire non-ferrous metal industry chain, including mining, smelting, and processing, encompassing all major sub-sectors such as industrial metals, precious metals, and energy metals [10][33]. - The index is weighted towards leading companies in the industry, effectively reflecting the performance of core assets and capturing the main contradictions in industry development [10][33]. Group 3: Fund Overview - The only public fund closely tracking the China Securities 800 Non-Ferrous Metals Index is the CITIC Prudential China Securities 800 Non-Ferrous Index Fund (LOF), established on August 30, 2013, and transitioned to an open-end fund on January 1, 2021 [34][41]. - The fund aims to achieve effective tracking of the index through rigorous quantitative management and investment discipline, with a target tracking error of less than 0.35% daily and 4% annually [38][34]. - The fund's top holdings include leading companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, with a significant weight in its portfolio, aligning closely with the index characteristics [36][37].