国际货币基金组织预测——阿联酋增长速度超世界平均水平

Economic Growth - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the UAE's GDP growth will reach 4.8% this year, driven by strong growth in the non-oil and gas sector and OPEC's capacity policies, exceeding the global average [1] - The UAE's economic growth is expected to rise to 5% next year, supported by the "National Economic Clusters Policy" [1] Non-Oil Sector Performance - The UAE's non-oil private sector has shown strong momentum, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reaching a nine-month high of 54.8 in November, up from 53.8 in October [2] - The AI industry, particularly in computing power, has seen rapid growth, attracting significant investments from US tech companies, including a $5 billion investment from OpenAI for an AI data center in Abu Dhabi [2] - Microsoft has invested over $7.3 billion in the UAE since 2023, focusing on AI data center development and talent training [2] Energy Revenue - OPEC+ has agreed to maintain current oil production levels until December 31, 2026, which supports UAE's oil production capacity [3] - The UAE's average daily oil production is projected to be around 3.3 million barrels in 2025, with a maximum capacity of 4.85 million barrels, aiming to increase to 5 million barrels by 2027 [3] - The Abu Dhabi National Oil Distribution Company reported a 21.5% year-on-year profit increase in Q3, reaching $221 million, driven by strong demand for refined oil products [3] Multilateral Cooperation - The "National Economic Clusters Policy" aims to expand the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements (CEPA) network, targeting an increase of 15 billion dirhams in foreign trade over the next seven years [4] - Since the launch of the CEPA initiative in September 2021, the UAE has signed agreements with 26 countries, enhancing its foreign trade network and providing opportunities for the private sector [4] - China remains the UAE's largest trading partner, with bilateral trade reaching $76.93 billion from January to September 2025, highlighting the importance of trade in oil, petrochemicals, and AI [4]