五角大楼“中国军力报告”硬中有缓？专家解读

Core Viewpoint - The latest "China Military and Security Development Report" released by the U.S. Department of Defense emphasizes the growing military capabilities of China, which are perceived as a direct threat to U.S. security, while also indicating a shift in the U.S. understanding of China's military strength and the dynamics of U.S.-China relations [1][2]. Group 1: Military Capabilities - The report claims that China possesses a large and growing arsenal of nuclear weapons, naval power, conventional long-range strike capabilities, cyber capabilities, and space capabilities, which threaten U.S. security [1]. - The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is reportedly making steady progress towards its 2027 goals, which include achieving a "strategic decisive victory" over Taiwan and establishing "strategic deterrence and control" over other regional countries [1][2]. Group 2: Military Activities and Strategies - In 2024, the PLA is expected to test key components of its military options, including exercises targeting maritime and land objectives, as well as the ability to strike U.S. forces in the Pacific region [2]. - The report suggests that if the scale of the PLA's strikes is significant, it could severely challenge and disrupt U.S. presence in the Asia-Pacific conflict areas [2]. Group 3: U.S.-China Relations - The tone of the report regarding U.S.-China relations is relatively moderate, stating that under President Trump, the relationship has reached its best level in years, and the U.S. Department of Defense will support efforts to strengthen this positive momentum [3]. - Analysts note that the report reflects an adjustment in the U.S. perception of China's military capabilities and the nature of U.S.-China interactions, influenced by recent military conflict simulations in the Western Pacific [3].