深夜！特朗普，突然发声！事关美联储！

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 20 fell to 214,000, lower than the expected 224,000, indicating a stable labor market [2][10] - The U.S. labor market continues to show low levels of layoffs, despite some companies like Pepsi and HP announcing job cuts [2][10] Group 2: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Outlook - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 15.5%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 84.5% [3][11] - Market expectations suggest that the Fed will implement limited rate cuts in 2026, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability of 42.2% by March 2026 [3][11] - The Fed has already cut rates by 175 basis points in the current cycle, nearing neutral rate levels, limiting further cuts unless the labor market deteriorates significantly [3][11] Group 3: Trump's Influence on Federal Reserve - Trump expressed a desire for his nominated Federal Reserve chair to lower rates during economic upturns, indicating a preference for a dovish monetary policy [4][12] - Trump's comments reflect his political pressure to address voter concerns about affordability, suggesting that lower rates could benefit the housing market [4][12] Group 4: Gold and Silver Market Trends - Gold prices reached a new high of $4,525.83 per ounce, while silver also hit a record high of $72.7 per ounce, driven by expectations of future rate cuts and geopolitical tensions [7][16] - Gold has increased over 71% this year, supported by central bank purchases and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) [7][16] - Predictions from Goldman Sachs and other banks indicate that gold prices may continue to rise, with a target of $4,900 per ounce by 2026 [8][17]