揭秘年内72单重大重组失利，半导体赛道失败率高

Core Viewpoint - The A-share merger and acquisition (M&A) market has seen a significant revival in 2025, with a total of 6,074 M&A events reported, including 279 major restructurings, marking a nearly twofold increase from the previous year. The total disclosed transaction amount reached 1.87 trillion yuan, over ten times higher than last year. However, one-quarter of these major transactions ended in failure, highlighting underlying challenges in the market [1][3][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - The number of major restructuring events in the A-share market has increased significantly, with 279 major restructurings reported this year, compared to 72 last year [1][3]. - The total disclosed transaction amount for M&A activities reached 1.87 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of over ten times compared to the previous year [1][3]. - The approval rate for M&A applications in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges reached 100%, with 39 companies' applications reviewed this year, a 160% increase from last year [3][12]. Group 2: Reasons for Failure - A total of 72 major restructurings failed this year, primarily due to market factors such as changes in market conditions, disagreements on valuation, and inconsistent interests among minority shareholders [3][12]. - The semiconductor and biopharmaceutical sectors experienced higher failure rates, with 12 and 8 failed restructurings, respectively, attributed to significant valuation discrepancies and the nature of their business models [4][5][12]. - Notable failed transactions included the merger between Haier Biomedical and Shanghai Laister, which was terminated after only 15 days of planning, indicating a trend of rapid failures in the current market [6][15]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The current market environment has led to impulsive M&A decisions, with companies eager to initiate transactions without thorough negotiations, resulting in many deals being called off [2][11]. - The introduction of new IPO policies has influenced companies' attitudes towards M&A, with many firms reassessing their strategies in light of the evolving regulatory landscape [5][14]. - The phenomenon of "flash crash" terminations has become more common, with 18 failed restructurings occurring within 100 days of announcement, indicating a lack of adequate negotiation time [6][15]. Group 4: Investor Behavior - Investors are advised to be cautious of "hype-driven" restructurings, focusing on whether the M&A aligns with the company's long-term strategy and whether there is substantial synergy [8][17]. - The speculative nature of some M&A announcements has led to significant stock price fluctuations, with examples of companies experiencing over 400% price increases before ultimately failing to complete their transactions [7][17]. - The market's reaction to M&A announcements has been volatile, with many investors engaging in irrational speculation, particularly in sectors like semiconductors and renewable energy [7][16].