Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-12-25 01:45Group 1 - The average wholesale price of pork on December 23 was 17.5 yuan/kg, reflecting a 0.7% increase from December 16, indicating a rebound in pork prices [1] - Since December, the price gap between medium and standard pigs has been insufficient in some regions, leading to a lack of confidence in medium to large pigs, which may accelerate the active reduction of production capacity [2] - The agricultural product wholesale price index decreased by 0.2% from December 16, with a year-on-year increase of 6.9% and a month-on-month increase of 3.3% [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that the rapid decline in pig prices since mid-October has led to losses across the entire industry chain, which typically accelerates the reduction of production capacity [2] - Investment perspective suggests that the turning point for pork prices may occur in Q2-Q3 of 2026, with the price center expected to gradually rise [2] - The current valuation level of the pig farming sector is relatively low, providing a sufficient margin of safety for investors [2] Group 3 - The Agricultural 50 ETF (516810.SH) focuses on leading companies in the pig farming industry, with major holdings including Muyuan Foods (14%), Wens Foodstuff Group (13%), and Haida Group (6%) [3] - During the capacity reduction process, leading pig farming enterprises are expected to enhance their cost advantages, resulting in strong profit certainty [3]