智通财经网·2025-12-25 02:24Livestock Sector - The pig farming industry is entering a "new cost competition pattern," with overall micro-profitability expected in 2025, and leading companies becoming stronger [1] - The production capacity of breeding sows is at a reasonable high level, with policy guidance aimed at reduction, leading to weaker price fluctuations [1] - Key companies to focus on include Muyuan Foods (牧原股份), Wens Foodstuff Group (温氏股份), and Lihua Agricultural (立华股份) [1] Beef Cattle Industry - The beef cattle industry is experiencing a deep supply clearance, similar to the pig industry before 2019, with significant risks of overcapacity due to prolonged losses [2] - In November 2024, the loss per head reached over 1,600 yuan, marking eight consecutive months of losses exceeding 1,000 yuan, prompting accelerated culling of breeding cows [2] - The cow production cycle (PSY) is only 1, significantly lower than the breeding sow PSY of 30, indicating a substantial reduction in beef supply expected by 2026 [2] - Recommended stocks include Youran Dairy (优然牧业) and Fucheng Group (福成股份) [2] Edible Mushroom Industry - The industry is seeing a rational return of production capacity, with leading companies solidifying their market positions [3] - The artificial cultivation of Cordyceps is entering a performance release phase, opening a second growth curve [3] - Traditional products like enoki mushrooms are experiencing alleviated overcapacity, with stable CR5 [3]