Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the machine tool and cutting tool industry demand is significantly influenced by the overall manufacturing sector's performance, which is currently showing weak recovery but with structural opportunities [1] - As of December 10, 2025, the machine tool tools index increased by 28.3%, driven mainly by valuation recovery, but underperformed the mechanical equipment index by 11.2 percentage points [1] - The manufacturing PMI is expected to fluctuate between 49% and 51%, while the PPI remains in a downward trend with signs of stabilization in recent months [1] Group 2 - The price of tungsten, a core raw material for CNC tools, has been rising since 2025, leading to a differentiated impact on tool companies, with leading firms benefiting from price adjustments and inventory advantages [2] - The domestic cutting tool industry is characterized by low market concentration, and the rising tungsten prices are accelerating industry reshuffling, allowing leading companies to increase their market share [2] - Despite the overall weak demand for machine tools, there are structural growth opportunities in high-end equipment manufacturing, artificial intelligence, humanoid robots, aerospace, and low-altitude economy sectors [2]
招商证券:钨价上涨驱动刀具格局改善 机床存在结构性机会