邦达亚洲:初请失业金数据表现良好 美元指数微幅收涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-25 08:27

Group 1: Labor Market Data - Initial jobless claims decreased by 10,000 to 214,000, lower than the expected 224,000 [1][6] - Continuing claims increased by 38,000 to 1.923 million, seasonally adjusted [1][6] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest in four years, partly due to technical factors related to government shutdowns [1][6] Group 2: Economic Growth and Monetary Policy - The U.S. economy is expected to grow at a rate of 3%, allowing the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates [2][7] - The economic growth is attributed to deregulation and capital spending, leading to a "no-inflation boom" [2][7] - If the economy maintains a 3% growth rate, it could result in lower inflation, with the Fed able to adjust rates based on neutral rate estimates [2][7] Group 3: Currency Market Reactions - The U.S. dollar index showed slight gains, trading around 97.90, supported by positive jobless claims data [3][8] - The euro experienced a slight decline, trading around 1.1780, influenced by profit-taking and the strength of the dollar [4][9] - The British pound also saw minor losses, trading around 1.3500, affected by the dollar's performance and expectations regarding interest rates [5][10]