张尧浠:黄金短期或调整后再涨 原油前景仍维持偏弱

Group 1 - The international gold market experienced fluctuations, reaching a historical high of $4525.42 before profit-taking led to a pullback, raising concerns about a potential top formation [1][6] - The market is expected to remain subdued due to the Christmas holiday, with limited volatility anticipated in domestic gold prices [1][6] - A breakthrough of the upward trendline pressure suggests that if prices decline further, support levels around $4380 should be monitored for potential bullish entries [1][6] Group 2 - Trump's comments about the Federal Reserve indicate a more accommodative monetary policy, with traders anticipating two interest rate cuts next year, which could support gold prices [7] - The monthly chart shows that if gold prices stabilize this month, it could signal the end of bearish expectations from October and open up further bullish potential, targeting above $5000 [2][7] - Short-term price action indicates a potential for a pullback, but numerous moving averages provide support, suggesting that any adjustments could present buying opportunities [2][7] Group 3 - For gold, support levels are noted at $4430 or $4400, while resistance is at $4500 or $4530 [7] - In the oil market, WTI crude oil prices experienced a slight decline of 0.14%, closing at $58.47 per barrel, with trading activity subdued ahead of the holiday [3][8] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Venezuela and Russia, are contributing to supply disruption concerns, which may influence oil prices [8]