Core Insights - The domestic lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery installation volume is projected to reach approximately 490 GWh from January to November 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 55% and a market share of 78.5%, an increase of 10 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - The significant increase in the market share of LFP batteries is primarily driven by market demand rather than policy incentives, contrasting with 2014 when policy was the main driver [3]. - The proportion of new vehicles equipped with LFP batteries has remained between 90% and 96% this year, with a notable increase from 92% to 94.5% in the second half of the year, indicating a growing preference among manufacturers for LFP technology [5]. Group 2: Product Offerings - The number of new energy passenger car models equipped with LFP batteries has risen from 213 to 536 over the past three years, with popular models like Geely Xingyuan, Xiaomi SU7, and XPeng MONA M03 accelerating production and delivery, further boosting the market share of LFP batteries [8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The top 10 companies in the domestic LFP battery installation market accounted for 95.3% of the total volume from January to November 2025, with companies like CATL, EVE Energy, and Xinwangda showing steady growth over the past three years [10]. - CATL's market share is projected to increase from 34.42% in 2023 to 36.79% in 2025, while BYD's share is expected to decline from 43.49% to 29.19% during the same period [11].
GGII:2025年1-11月国内磷酸铁锂动力电池装机份额高达78.5% 后市有望突破历史峰值