Core Viewpoint - The latest draft of Ukraine's "20-point peace plan" presented by President Zelensky faces significant challenges in gaining acceptance from Russia, particularly regarding ceasefire and security guarantees [1][3]. Summary by Categories Ceasefire Issues - Ukraine's proposal suggests a ceasefire based on the current front line, requiring international supervision for a lasting halt to hostilities. However, Russia, having maintained battlefield advantages this year, is unlikely to agree without concessions from Ukraine [1][3]. Security Guarantees - The draft emphasizes that Ukraine should not be demilitarized and aims to retain an army of 800,000 personnel. Russia's previous demands for Ukraine's demilitarization conflict with this stance, making it difficult for Russia to concede [3][5]. Territorial Disputes - A major point of contention is the territorial status of the Donbas region, which Russia and the U.S. want Ukraine to relinquish. Ukraine has shown some flexibility by considering the establishment of a "demilitarized zone" or "free economic zone," but specifics remain unclear [5][6]. NATO Membership - Ukraine's fluctuating stance on NATO membership complicates negotiations. While initially insisting on joining NATO, Zelensky has recently indicated a willingness to reconsider, yet reaffirmed the goal of NATO membership shortly after [6][8]. Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant - The ownership of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, Europe's largest, remains disputed. The U.S. has proposed a tripartite management structure, but Ukraine prefers joint management with the U.S., while Russia currently controls the plant and is unlikely to relinquish it [6][8]. Ongoing Tensions - The situation remains tense, with recent military incidents exacerbating hostilities. The current peace proposals are seen as a means to facilitate negotiations rather than resolve all disputes at once, indicating that a ceasefire is not imminent [8][10].
泽连斯基推出“20点”,俄乌间仍有5大分歧丨夜观天下
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-25 12:15