前11个月广义财政支出超收入近10万亿，原因有哪些

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the optimization of fiscal expenditure structure in China, with a focus on investing in people and ensuring the well-being of the population [1][8] - In the first 11 months of this year, the broad fiscal revenue reached 24,079 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of approximately 0.2%, while broad fiscal expenditure was 34,066 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 4.5% [1][4] - The broad fiscal expenditure exceeded revenue by 99,872 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of approximately 17.9%, indicating a more proactive fiscal policy aimed at stabilizing growth and expanding domestic demand [1][6] Group 2 - The broad fiscal revenue is close to the initial official expectations for the year, with a projected growth of about 0.2% for 2025, aligning with the current year-to-date performance [4] - The general public budget revenue increased by 0.8% year-on-year in the first 11 months, slightly better than the initial forecast of 0.1%, driven by stable economic performance and increased tax revenues from a vibrant capital market [4] - However, government fund revenue remains below initial expectations, primarily due to a sluggish real estate market and lower-than-expected land transfer income, which decreased by 10.7% year-on-year [5] Group 3 - The growth rate of broad fiscal expenditure is lower than the initial official forecast, with an actual increase of 4.5% compared to an expected 9.3% for 2025, largely due to underperformance in land transfer income [6] - To maintain fiscal expenditure levels, the central government has allowed local governments to issue an additional 500 billion yuan in bonds in the fourth quarter to support local financial capacity and major project construction [6] - The total investment from new policy financial tools has reached approximately 7 trillion yuan, focusing on digital economy, artificial intelligence, and urban infrastructure projects [6][8] Group 4 - The net financing of government bonds reached 1.315 trillion yuan in the first 11 months, an increase of 361 billion yuan year-on-year [7] - The central economic work conference has called for continued implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy next year, with expectations for the fiscal deficit rate to be set around 4% for 2026 [9] - The anticipated increase in government debt issuance, including long-term special bonds and local government bonds, is expected to exceed 12 trillion yuan in 2025, potentially reaching between 13 trillion and 16 trillion yuan [9]