复盘2025：公募REITs震荡中突显韧性

Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market in China is expected to experience rapid growth in 2025, with nearly 80 products issued and a total market value exceeding 220 billion yuan, potentially driving over 1 trillion yuan in new project investments [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the secondary market for public REITs showed a "rise then fall" pattern, with the CSI REITs total return index increasing by 14.2% in the first half of the year, followed by a noticeable decline in the second half due to rising long-term interest rates and unlocking pressures [1] - By December 10, 2025, 61 out of 77 listed public REITs had increased in value, representing nearly 80% of the total, while 16 products saw declines [2] - The top-performing public REITs included 25 products with gains exceeding 20%, and 15 of those had gains over 30%, with the highest being the E Fund Huawai Market REIT, which saw a rise of over 70% before a temporary suspension [2][3] Group 2: Asset Class Performance - Consumer REITs performed particularly well, with four out of the top ten products in terms of growth being from this category, while industrial park REITs faced significant pressure, with the largest decline being 22.57% for the Zhongjin Hubei Ketiang REIT [3] - The Jinan Energy Heating REIT, launched in February 2025, achieved a notable increase of 66.81% during the year, indicating strong market interest [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts predict that the public REITs market will see both scale and quality improvements in 2026, with a more mature and deeper market expected to emerge [4] - The overall market sentiment is optimistic, driven by macroeconomic conditions and ongoing policy support, although individual REIT performance may vary significantly [5] - Investment opportunities are anticipated in sectors with stable cash flows and strong policy backing, particularly in areas like consumer infrastructure and public utilities [5][6]