专访鲁政委：结构性货币政策工具有望“加量降价”

Group 1 - In 2026, China's economic development will focus on using domestic circulation stability to counter international circulation uncertainties, emphasizing the need for coordinated efforts in both supply and demand to solidify consumption growth [1][12] - The transition from "incremental pull" to "structural optimization" in consumption policies is necessary to better align supply with the evolving demand for upgraded consumption, addressing both supply shortages and oversupply issues [3][4] - Monetary policy tools have ample room for action, with expectations for continued reductions in reserve requirements and interest rates, alongside innovative structural monetary policy tools to stimulate credit without causing fund "idle" [5][6] Group 2 - The core constraint on consumer spending is the need for stable income expectations, which can be addressed through policies that enhance income stability and reduce precautionary savings pressures in housing, education, and healthcare [4][5] - The RMB is expected to experience a "strong first, weak later" trend against the USD in 2026, influenced by both domestic monetary easing and external factors such as US interest rate changes and geopolitical dynamics [6][7] - The "Five Major Articles" in financial services for the real economy are anticipated to make significant progress in areas such as technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, contingent on regulatory support and policy breakthroughs [8][9][10][11]