12月26日ETF早知道

Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector in China is experiencing significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22% since 2015, and is projected to reach a market size of 7 trillion to 10 trillion yuan by 2030 [17] - The defense and military sector is currently leading the market, with a net buying of 14.2 billion yuan in a single day, indicating strong investor interest [17] - The metals sector has seen a recent pullback after four consecutive days of gains, with the Huabao Metals ETF receiving a net subscription of 46.3 million yuan on December 25 [17] Market Temperature - The long-term signals indicate that the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index have percentile valuations of 94.94%, 85.93%, and 43.25% respectively, suggesting varying levels of market valuation [13] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors on December 25 include machinery (+1.59%), defense and military (+2.91%), and light industry manufacturing (+1.51%) [2] - The sectors with the largest capital inflows were automotive (1.158 billion yuan), machinery (504 million yuan), and food and beverage (228 million yuan), while the largest outflows were in electronics (-5.068 billion yuan), non-ferrous metals (-2.780 billion yuan), and computers (-1.933 billion yuan) [2][17] ETF Performance - The Huabao Military ETF and Huabao Metals ETF have shown strong performance, with respective six-month gains of 20.94% and 9.40% [4][15] - The Huabao Smart Manufacturing ETF has also performed well, with a six-month gain of 40.84% [4] Investment Opportunities - The ongoing "super cycle" in non-ferrous metals is expected to continue until 2026, driven by factors such as the recovery of the US dollar, strategic stockpiling, and policy effects [17] - Investors are encouraged to actively seize opportunities in the upcoming spring market, as the combination of a weak dollar, supportive policies, and industrial upgrades may lower opportunity costs and improve risk premiums [17]