Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-26 02:36Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the tin market is experiencing unprecedented structural forces, driven by supply constraints from key producing regions and a demand revolution fueled by AI, renewable energy, and photovoltaic applications [2] - Supply growth is facing rigid bottlenecks due to policy, geopolitical issues, and resource depletion in major production areas like Myanmar, Indonesia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, exposing the fragility of the traditional supply system [2] - A fundamental rebalancing of supply and demand is pushing industry profits and market focus towards companies with resource and high-end manufacturing capabilities, such as China's Xiyu Co., Indonesia's PT Timah, and Huaxin Nonferrous [2] Group 2 - Tin has transitioned from a common industrial metal to a key strategic material essential for the global digital economy and green transition, with short-term prices expected to fluctuate between 330,000 and 340,000 yuan/ton [3] - The market is entering a new phase where pricing is determined by both resource scarcity and technological demand, reflecting the ongoing tension between long-term supply anxiety and emerging demand realities [3] - Multiple favorable factors are resonating in the context of macro liquidity turning accommodative and a weakening dollar, contributing to sustained high price levels for tin [2]