2025世界经济回顾丨中亚经济增长态势强劲

Core Insights - The Central Asian region is experiencing robust economic growth, with Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan showing strong performance, driven by internal resilience and a shift in development models [1][2][3] Economic Performance - Kazakhstan's economy grew by 6.4% in the first 11 months, with the real economy expanding by 8.3%, supported by a 20.3% increase in transportation and a 14.7% rise in construction [1] - Uzbekistan's GDP increased by 7.6% in the first nine months, with a projected annual growth rate of 7.5%, driven by a 14.2% growth in construction and a 14% rise in services [2] - Kyrgyzstan's economy surged by 11.7% in the first half of the year, maintaining a 10.2% growth rate in the first 11 months, with construction output growing by 29% [2] - Tajikistan's GDP grew by 8.2% from January to September, with industrial output increasing by 24% and agricultural growth at 8.1% [2] - Turkmenistan's economy grew by 6.3% in the first 11 months, with construction, transportation, and trade as key growth drivers [2] Structural Changes - Economic growth is shifting from external dependency to a dual-driven model of internal and external factors, with domestic investment and consumption playing a more significant role [3] - The economic structure is diversifying, with rapid growth in the real economy sectors like construction and transportation, alongside an expanding share of modern services [3] Policy and Strategy - Central Asian countries are seeking a balance between promoting growth and managing risks, with inflation pressures leading to cautious macroeconomic management [3] - Long-term strategies are focusing on digital transformation and sustainable development, with initiatives like Kazakhstan's "Astana Hub" and green energy investments [3] China-Central Asia Cooperation - The cooperation between China and Central Asia is deepening, with significant trade and investment growth, including a trade volume of $14.9 billion between China and Kazakhstan in the first half of the year [5] - Major infrastructure projects are enhancing connectivity, transforming Central Asia from a "landlocked" to a "land-linked" region, with a 62% increase in cargo volume along the China-Central Asia transport corridor [5] - Emerging collaborations in digital economy, green energy, and high-tech sectors are fostering future economic growth points [6] - Institutional frameworks are being established to ensure long-term cooperation, focusing on capacity building and human resource development [6]